Sunday, December 14, 2008

Volume surges in CME products for 2004

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) said 2004 marked the fifth consecutive year that volume on futures transactions reached record levels, with electronic trading and currency contracts playing a significant part in the growth.
The nation’s largest futures exchange posted annual volume of more than 787 million contracts, with average daily volume up 26 percent year-over-year to more than 3.1 million contracts. Volume on the CME Globex electronic trading platform surged 71 percent on the year to more than 451 million contracts, with average daily volume of nearly 1.8 million.
In a statement, the CME said it set annual volume records in all major groups. Average daily volume in its interest rate products hit more than 1.7 million contracts, up 38 percent from last year. Eurodollar trading on CME Globex grew from 150,000 contracts per day during the first quarter to 855,000 per day during the fourth quarter — representing 72 percent of total CME Eurodollar volume.
“The continued growth in electronic trading — which reached 67 percent of total volume during the fourth quarter — plus our expansion overseas through the successful execution of a number of strategic initiatives, have made our markets more accessible globally to a broader range of market users,” said Chicago Mercantile Chairman Terry Duffy in a statement.
“What we accomplished in 2004 demonstrates the effectiveness of our growth strategy and lays the groundwork for further progress in 2005.” Despite the normal year-end slowdown, the CME said overall fourth fourthquarter trading activity remained strong, with average daily volume of
almost 3.1 million contracts, up 33 percent from the same period in 2003.
Leading the increase was a 79 percent rise in foreign exchange trading, averaging 252,000 contracts per day, and a 42 percent jump in interest rate products, averaging more than 1.65 million contracts per day. Average daily volume for December was more than 2.8 million contracts, up 27 percent from year-ago levels. CME foreign exchange products had the highest volume month ever, with more than 312,000 contracts per day, up 84 percent from December 2003. Interest rate products grew 29 percent and commodities grew 21 percent compared to the same month a year ago.
Overall electronic trading on CME Globex was up 99 percent in December compared to year-ago levels.


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Friday, December 12, 2008

Trading glossary

Dark Cloud Cover -- A 2-bar candlestick reversal pattern. The first bar draws a tall rally candle.
The next candle gaps up but closes well within the range of the prior bar.
Descending Triangle -- A common reversal pattern that forms from a descending upper
trendline and a horizontal bottom support line.

Dip Trip -- A trading strategy that buys pullbacks in an active bull market.
Doji -- A 1-bar candlestick reversal pattern in which the open and close are the same (or almost
the same) price and the high-low range is above average for that market.
Double Bottom (DB) -- A common reversal pattern in which price prints a new low, reverses into
a rally and returns once to test it before moving higher.
Double Top (DT) -- A common reversal pattern in which price prints a new high, reverses into a
selloff and returns once to test it before moving lower.
Dow Theory -- Observations on the nature of trend by Charles Dow in the early 20th century. It
also notes that broad market trends verify when the three major market averages all move to a
new high or low.
Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs) -- Computer stock exchanges that rapidly
match, fill and report customer limit orders.
Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) -- A pattern-recognition technique published by Ralph Nelson Elliott
in 1939 that believes all markets move in five distinct waves when traveling in the direction of a
primary trend and three distinct waves when moving in a correction against a primary trend.
Empty Zone (EZ) -- The interface between the end of a quiet range-bound market and the start
of a new dynamic trending market.
Execution Trigger (ET) -- The predetermined point in price, time and risk that a trade entry
should be considered.

Execution Zone (EZ) -- The time and price surrounding an Execution Target that requires
undivided attention in order to decide if a trade entry is appropriate.
undivided attention in order to decide if a trade entry is appropriate.
Exhaustion Gap -- A classic gap popularized in Technical Analysis of Stock Trends that signals
the end of an active trend with one last burst of enthusiasm or fear.
Fade -- A swing strategy that sells at resistance and buys at support.
Failure Target -- The projected price that a losing trade will be terminated. The price at which a
trade will be proven wrong.
Farley's Accumulation-Distribution Accelerator (ADA) -- A technical indicator that measures
the trend of accumulation-distribution.
Fibonacci (Fibs) -- The mathematical tendency of trends to find support at the 38%, 50% or 62%
retracement of the last dynamic move.
First Rise/First Failure (FR/FF) -- The first 100% retracement of the last dynamic price move
after an extended trending market.
Finger Finder -- A trading strategy that initiates a variety of tactics based upon single bar
candlestick reversals.

5-8-13 -- Intraday Bollinger Bands and moving average settings that align with short-term
Fibonacci cycles. Set the Bollinger Bands to 13-bar and two standard deviations. Set the moving
averages to 5-bar and 8-bar SMAs.
5 Wave Decline -- A classic selloff pattern that exhibits three sharp downtrends and two weak
bear rallies.
Flags -- Small continuation pattern that prints against the direction of the primary trend.
Foot in Floor -- Bollinger Band pattern that indicates short term support and reversal.
Fractals -- Small-scale predictive patterns that repeat themselves at larger and larger intervals on
the price chart.

Gap Echo -- A gap that breaks through the same level as a recent one in the opposite direction.

Hammer -- A 1-bar candlestick reversal pattern in which the open-close range is much smaller
than a high-low range that prints well above average for that market. The real body must sit at
one extreme of the high-low range to form a hammer.

Harami -- A 1-bar candlestick reversal pattern in which the open-close range is much smaller
than the high-low range and sits within the real body of a tall prior bar.

Hard Right Edge -- The location where the next bar will print on the price chart. This also points
to the spot where the swing trader must predict the future.

Head and Shoulders -- This classic reversal pattern forms from an extended high that sits
between two lower highs. Three relative lows beneath the three highs connect at a trendline
known as the neckline. Popular opinion expects a major selloff when the neckline breaks.

Head in Ceiling -- Bollinger Band pattern that indicates short-term resistance and reversal.

Historical Volatility -- The range of price movement over an extended period of time as
compared to current activity.
Hole in the Wall -- A sharp down gap that immediately follows a major rally.

Inside Day -- A price bar that prints a lower high and higher low than the bar that precedes it.
Inverse Head and Shoulders -- This classic reversal pattern forms from an extended low that
sits between two higher lows. Three relative highs above the three lows connect at a trendline
known as the neckline. Popular opinion expects a major rally when the neckline breaks.

January Effect -- The tendency for stocks to recover in January after end-of-year, tax-related
selling has completed.

Market Numbers – Price levels based on multiples or fractions of 10 that act as support or
resistance. Common market numbers include 5, 10, 20, 25, 30, 50, 100.
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) -- A trend-following indicator that tracks
two exponentially smoothed moving averages above and below a zero line.

Mesa Top -- A double top reversal pattern that declines at the same angle as the initial rally.

Moving Average Crossover -- The point where a moving average intersects with another
moving average or with price.
Moving Average Rainbows (MARs) -- Wide bands of mathematically related and color-coded
moving averages.
Narrow Range Bar (NR) -- A price bar with a smaller high-low range as compared to the prior
bar's high-low range.

Narrowest Range of the Last 7 Bars (NR7) -- A low volatility time-price convergence that often
precedes a major price expansion. A price bar with a smaller high-low range as compared to the
prior six bars high-low ranges.

NR7-2 -- The 2nd NR7 in a row. A low volatility time-price convergence that often precedes a
major price expansion.
Neckline -- A trendline drawn under the support of a Head and Shoulders pattern over the
resistance of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
Negative Feedback -- Directionless price action in which bars move back and forth between
well-defined boundaries.
Noise -- Price and volume fluctuations that confuse interpretation of market direction


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3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. ForexGen offers a free trial Forex demo account that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

how to figure out the value of a pip for any currency pair


As a new Forex trader, one of the most important things you will need to learn is how to figure out the value of a pip for any currency pair. A pip is the smallest measure of value in a currency pair in Forex, so it's critical that you understand this concept.
When someone is saying "30 pips," they're talking about thirty units of value in a trade. Both profits and losses are measured in pips, though a pip for USD/JPY is not the same value as a pip for USD/CAD.
The simplest way to put it is this: one pip is one unit of the smallest measured decimal place. For example, if you are trading USD/JPY at 114.95, then one pip is .01 Yen, since that is the smallest decimal place of measurement used in this pair. The JPY is measured in two decimal spaces, although almost all other currencies are measured in four decimal places.

This does vary, which is why you always want to check on each individual currency to figure out what the pips actually are. For example, if the USD/CAD is trading at 1.0621 CAD than a pip for this transaction is .0001 CAD.

If you trade AUD/USD while it's at 1.2433, then one pip for this trade is .0001 since that combination has four decimal places, as well. See how that works? Like many parts of Forex trading, it is pretty easy once you get used to it.
So if the USD/JPY is quoted to only two decimal places, so Yen .01 is the value of this pip. If this pair goes from 114.95 to 115.00, it gained 5 pips. Likewise, if the USD/CAD goes from 1.0621 to 1.0611, it lost 10 pips. That simple math is all that's needed at that point. So if USD/JPY went from 88.25 to 88.29 that would be a 4 pip increase.

On the other hand, if it went from 88.25 to 87.90, that would be a 35 pip loss. The math might seem a little daunting at first, but it really is just ordinary math an easy enough to pick up on.
As a side note: many non-Yen currencies are figured out four places, making many pips involving USD in the currency pair .0001, but just remember that a pip is one unit of the furthest listed decimal point and you'll do fine. This also means that for each currency pair the pip can be a different value. You will want to keep track of this.

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1. Lowest spreads in the market with 0-1 pips in 10 pairs, no commissions, no swaps and instant account Activation.
2. Scandinavian quality with Swiss precision, funds secured and local agents in 18+ countries.
3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. ForexGen offers a free trial Forex demo account that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

Understanding Pips In The Forex Market

A point in Forex trading is referred to as a "pip". It is the last decimal place of a price quote.
Currency pairs are usually traded in standard Lots, which are equivalent to 100,000 units of the top currency in a pair.
For example, 1 Lot of GBP/USD is eqivalant to 100,000 pounds. Standard lots can be traded in “mini” versions (0.1) and are equivalent to 10,000 units of the top currency pair.
Since the currency that is on the top of the price quote changes, i.e. 1 Lot of GBP/USD (100,000 Pounds) is worth more than 1 Lot of USD/CAD (100,000 Dollars), the value of a pip changes. Also, the size of a position will affect how much each pip is worth.
Pip spread is short for "percentage in point" and you may sometimes hear people refer to pips as points.

Put simply, a pip is the smallest unit of price for a currency. It's the last decimal point in exchange rates or currency pairs.
For most currencies its 0.0001. So if you bought USD/CHF 1.2475 and sold at 1.2489 you made 14 pips.
One common exception is USD/JPY. In this currency pair there are only two decimal places so a pip is equal to 0.01.
The reason pips are so important is because they are the basis for calculating profit or loss in forex trading.

Pip spread Value.

With all these different currency pairs to deal with and with prices fluctuating all the time, how do you know the value of a pip?
It's a simple calculation.
For currency pairs in which USD is the base currency, just divide a pip (usually 0.0001) by the exchange rate.
For currency pairs in which USD is the quote currency, its even simpler. The pip value is always one pip (for example, 0.0001).
So in our example above, when the exchange rate for USD/CHF is 1.2489:

0.0001 / 1.2489 = 0.0000800704
That's a pretty tiny number.
But remember that in forex Pip spread trading you are able to leverage small sums of money to move large quantities of currency.

In other words, you can use leverage to make big profits off of that tiny number.
Let's say your forex broker allows you to trade with leverage of 100:1. This means that in order to buy a standard lot of $100,000, you only need to put up $1,000.
You can see how trading in larger lots affects the pip value, and therefore your profit or loss:

If you are only trading $1,000 in currency, the Pip spread value is calculated as follows:
0.0000800704 X 1000 = $0.08 per pip.
The price would have to go up by a whole lot of pips in order to make a significant profit at that rate. That 14 pip profit only made you $1.12.
But by using leverage to buy a lot size of $100,000 your profit increases.
0.0000800704 X 100,000 = $8.01 per pip.
That's a profit of $112.14.

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How to Profit from Currency Exchange Trading

The profit you will gain or the loss you will incur from a currency trade is determined by the pip. A pip spread represents the smallest step by which a currency's price moves in either direction. Depending on the currency pair the value of the pip varies. Additionally, the exchange rate of the currency pair represents a factor influencing the pip value.
When there is an open position, depending on the currency you have bought or sold, an upward or downward movement of the pip determines the occurrence of a profit or loss. A fixed value of $10 is set when the US dollar is the counter (quote) currency. On the other hand, if the US dollar is the base currency, the pip value varies in accordance with the current market rates.
Estimating pip spread Value

If you use the services of a trustworthy broker, then the option of getting real time information on the profits and losses from currency trades can be provided. It is recalculated every time the exchange rate changes. However, in order to get the best of this information, you should gain knowledge on how the actual calculations are done.
Depending on the base currency, the following calculations are executed.
Case 1: The base currency is the US dollar
For USD/CHF the current exchange rate is 1.1782. This means that one dollar is equal to 1.1782 Swiss francs. Thus, the value of $100,000 is equal to 117,820 Swiss francs. An increase of the pip value by one will result in a market price of 1.1783. This will lead to $100,000 being worth 117,830 Swiss francs.

Therefore, a one pip movement is worth 10 Swiss francs for 100,000 units of currency. In order to get the value of 10 Swiss francs at the new price you should divide 10 by 1.1783 (the new price). The result obtained is that 10 Swiss francs = $8.49. How is this result interpreted? If the trader decides to sell at this value, then s/he gets $8.49 profit for the 10 Swiss francs obtained.
Case 2: The counter currency is the US dollar
For EUR/USD the current exchange rate is 1.3616. This means that one euro is equal to $1.3616. Thus, the value of 100,000 euros is equal to $136,160. An increase in the pip spread value by one will result in a market price of 1.3617. This will result in 100,000 euros being worth $136,170.
If the trader likes the new price level, s/he may choose to close the position and sell the currency pair. S/he will pocket a profit of $10. However, if the trader has instead decided to sell the initial 100,000 euros at the price of 1.3616 and eventually the price has increased by one pip spread then s/he would incur a loss of $10 the minute s/he chooses to close the position.
Making a Profit from the Exchange Rate Movement
Case 1: Making a profit from a rising exchange rate
The following example provides an illustration of how profits can be gained from an increasing exchange rate.

John is a trader, who has decided that he is able of making a successful speculation with the currency pair EUR/USD. He believes that the value of the EUR is about to increase relative the value of the USD. This means that the exchange rate of this currency pair is to increase. As a result he buys EUR/USD pair at the current market price of 1.3616.
John will speculate on the value of 100,000 EUR in relation to the USD.
As mentioned above, the current market value of EUR/USD is 1.3616. Thus, 1 EUR is worth $1.3616. The corresponding value of 100,000 EUR is $136,160. When the transaction is finished, John will have to repay the amount of $136,160, which he has borrowed.
If John's expectations of an increased value of the EUR come true and it increases by 50 pips, then the new market rate will be 1.3666. At this higher market rate, John can choose to close the position and not only pay back his $136,160, but also obtain a profit.
The initial 100,000 EUR will be now worth 136,660. After repaying his debt, John will be left with $500, which represents his profit.
Case 2: Making a profit from a falling exchange rate
Profiting is not limited only to rising exchange rates of currencies. However, a clear determination of the exact currency pair to be traded should be made.
Let's refer to our previous example and explore the case in which the value of the EUR is expected to fall relative to the value of the USD. Under these conditions, John should order the selling of the EUR/USD pair.

John should borrow euros in order to purchase US dollars. With the proceeds he gets from the borrowing of 100,000 euros, he will be able to purchase US dollars.
From our previous example, 1 euro is equal to $1.3616. Thus, the borrowed 100,000 euros purchase 136,160 USD. The amount the trader has borrowed for the purposes of executing the transaction will be repaid when it is finished.
If the value of the EUR really falls by, let's say, 50 pips spread then the new market rate of EUR/USD will be 1.3566. At this new exchange level, John may decide to close the position and pocket the profit. He will have to repay the borrowed 100,000 euros, which have now decreased in value to $135,660. In order to get the acquired profit of $500, 135,660 are deducted from the initial value of the debt, namely 136,160.
To be successful at forex trading you need two main things - the knowledge and the right trading plaftorm.

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ForexGen | Beginners Trading Guidelines


All successful traders trade using a positive Risk/Reward ratio. There is no sense in having five 30 pip spread winning trades, and then one 200 pip spreads losing trade because at the end of the day you are 50 pips spreads down!
Some online forex brokers
now offer 3 to 5 pip spreads in the liquid currencies
such as EUR/USD and USD/JPY. These are very competitive prices which a few years ago were unthinkable. As recently as the mid 1990's brokers were quoting 10 pip spreads in the major currencies plus a commission!
The excellent value available from trading on tight spread works very much to the traders advantage. However, you should avoid overtrading and entering trades for just a 5-10 pip spread profit or loss. Even trading this way on 3 pip spreads can adversely affect your profitability.
Below are examples of both a winning trade and losing trade when trading for a 10 pip spread.
profit or loss:
Winning Trade:
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2020 (price = 17/20)
Sell EUR/USD at 1.2030 (price = 30/33)
Market moves 13 pips spread before taking profit

Losing Trade:
Buy EUR/USD at 1.2020 (price = 17/20)
Sell EUR/USD at 1.2010 (price = 10/13)
Market moves 7 pips spread before taking loss..

The above example highlights that the risk/reward of trading for a 10 pip spread profit or loss is poor.
For the same 10 pips spread, the market must move 13 pips spread for your winning position, but only 7 pips spread for your losing position.

As a general rule of thumb, we recommend that your Take-Profit or Stop-Loss levels are at least 10 times the pip spread you have traded on. This strategy will help avoid overtrading and improve risk/reward.
If you are a day trader or short term trader, in general we recommend not to "chase the market".
By this we mean you shouldn't for example buy Euro after it has already risen 100 pips spreads and is trading at the days highs. Or sell USD/JPY after it has come off 150 pips spreads and is trading near the days lows. The rationale behind this is that in many cases the market will consolidate and there will be better opportunities to enter into a new position.

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Insider’s Guide to Forex Trading:

This pip spread on every trade is a commission. That’s what it is. Despite what the broker might claim. And that forced pip spread is not cheap. 3 pips spread is $30 on a just one full sized pair. Try $50 on a 5 pip spread you still see as commonplace.

You have a $5,000 account and trade it with 200:1 leverage. That means you can trade 1,000,000 worth of currency (you can see why we said pip spreads above are a significant cost but with leverage can end up being a small percentage of cost) – and that means 10 full sized pairs.

Find a broker that does not charge high pip spreads. Sure, you need a broker who provides a stable platform, which provides good customer service, which is regulated (important!), that has account insurance/guarantees, and so on. But realize these brokers make money
many different ways. They make pip spread money, they make money by laying off orders on other banks, they make money on stop running. Did I say that? Guess it’s too late to take it back.

There is simply no reason to pay more than 3 pips spread on the EURUSD. And really, you should be paying 2 pips spread. On the GBPUSD and USDCHF why are you paying 5 pips spread Sorry, it’s not going to a charitable cause – your broker’s bank account isn’t a non-profit. Those pip spreads are crazy. You should pay 3 pip spread, maybe 4 pip spread at most on the other majors.

And forget about all the “exotics” – avoid trading anything that is not amongst the main pairs – EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY and maybe EURGBP. And stay away unless is 2 or 3 pips spread, maybe 4. That’s already more than enough to trade so why do you need to trade the GBPCHF for 15 pips spread? Unless you really like to make car payments and pay for rounds of golf for your broker. If you do see a compelling reason to trade, for example, the GBPJPY - and there are some great moves there - just be sure you are building the spread costs into your trading outcomes – you might need it to go 7 to 10 pips spread just to get break-even, let alone to start making a profit.

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ForexGen has the pleasure to announce the launching of its first monthly Live Accounts contest,